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Prediction for CME (2019-10-25T05:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-10-25T05:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15126/-1
CME Note: From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: The magnetic field and plasma parameters exhibit signatures of an ICME - stronger B that the ambient solar wind, expanding structure and low temperature. I would say that this is probably a very beautiful CME-streamer blow-out. You probably did not see any disk signatures, dimming, flares but this is why it is so slow, weak, and with barely a sheath region or shock.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T15:02Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T18:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -45533.90 hour(s)
Difference: -3.47 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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