CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-10-25T05:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-10-25T05:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15126/-1
CME Note: From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: The magnetic field and plasma parameters exhibit signatures of an ICME - stronger B that the ambient solar wind, expanding structure and low temperature. I would say that this is probably a very beautiful CME-streamer blow-out. You probably did not see any disk signatures, dimming, flaresÂ… but this is why it is so slow, weak, and with barely a sheath region or shock.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T15:02Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T18:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: -23.37 hour(s)
Difference: -3.47 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2019-10-30T14:24Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement